28 Scenarios For What Things Could Look Like After New Hampshire
Manchester, N.H. — After an extremely confusing week in the Democratic presidential primary, I have some bad news: New Hampshire might not resolve as much as you think.
POLITICS
What Our Forecast Says About The New Hampshire Primary At The District Level
According to early estimates out of Iowa, former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg won 14 pledged delegates to the Democratic National Convention, Sen. Bernie Sanders won 12, Sen. Elizabeth Warren won eight, former Vice President Joe Biden won six and Sen. Amy Klobuchar won one. But how did Klobuchar snag a national delegate when her share of the statewide vote was 12 percent,1 below the delegate threshold of 15 percent? It’s because she got more than 15 percent in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District, and around two-thirds of Iowa’s delegates are awarded based on results at the district level, not the statewide level.
Americans Were Already Primed To Distrust Elections. Then Came Iowa.
When the Iowa caucuses went to hell in a handbasket last week, they probably took some of Americans’ last morsels of trust in the political system down too. But when I asked political scientists and psychologists about the impact of the bungled caucuses on overall political cynicism, they, by and large, weren’t particularly concerned. The vast majority of voters probably won’t care all that much, they said; instead, these experts are more worried about the indirect effects. Long after the shoddy apps have been forgotten, mistrust and bitterness could still be trickling down from political elites to everyone else.
Oil prices steady as coronavirus-related demand concerns weigh
SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Oil prices were little changed on Monday as concerns of falling fuel demand caused by the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak in China was offset by expectations that output cuts from major producers will tighten crude supply.
Trump pushed CIA to find, kill Osama bin Laden’s son over higher priority targets
When the CIA gave Trump a list of major terrorist leaders to kill, he said he’d never heard of them. Instead he focused on a target with a famous name.
Economic Calendar – Top 5 Things to Watch This Week
By Noreen Burke
Eating Pancakes, Ice Fishing And Getting Tattoos With New Hampshire Voters
While in New Hampshire, our fearless podcast host and reporter, Galen Druke, interviewed a number of voters about who they’d be voting for in the state’s primary, along with their hopes and fears for the future. Here are four of our favorite conversations.
Our Final Forecast For The New Hampshire Primary
Because very few national polls were released after Iowa, we’ve been eagerly awaiting Monmouth University’s latest national poll even as ballots are cast in New Hampshire. That data has now been incorporated into the model, and with just a few hours until the first polling places close, we’ve frozen the forecast — candidates’ odds won’t update and no new information will be added until after New Hampshire results are available.
Goodbye To Andrew Yang, 2020’s Most Unexpectedly Successful Losing Candidate
Not a single Democratic candidate dropped out of the race after the Iowa caucuses — no doubt because of the messy result there. But the early states have now started to do their traditional job of winnowing the field. It just took the New Hampshire primary to get things going.
3 Stocks To Watch In The Coming Week: Walmart, Tesla, Deere & Company
Economic data Friday showed retail sales rose in January for a fourth straight month, as cheaper prices at the gas pump encouraged Americans to spend on other goods, underscoring steady consumer spending.
